It’s not an exact match, and certainly not scientific, but you can see some historic cycles by looking at things that chracterise certain decades.
1820s – War/Recovery (If anything recovery from 1814 but tenuous)
1830s – Promise (Railroad construction booms)
1840s – Turmoil (Mexican-American War)
1850s – Depression (1850s depression, Bleeding Kansas)
1860s – War/Recovery (Civil War, Transcontinental railroad, death of Lincoln)
1870s – Promise (Telephone, light bulb, phonograph, reconstruction)
1880s – Turmoil (electricity, cars, new imperialism)
1890s – Depression (Panic of 1893, depression)
1900s – War/Recovery (End of Phillipine-American war)
1910s – Promise (Relativity, X-rays, radio, Hollywood, World War I)
1920s – Turmoil (Flappers, Roaring 20s)
1930s – Depression (Great Depression)
1940s – War/Recovery (WWII)
1950s – Promise (TV)
1960s – Turmoil (Vietname, hippies)
1970s – Depression (Stagflation)
1980s – War/Recovery (Cold war)
1990s – Promise (Peace, tech boom, Internet)
2000s – Turmoil (World Trade Center, Iraq, Afghanistan, terrorism)
2010s – Depression
2020s – War/Recovery
October 10th, 2006 at 5:30 pm
Whoa, pretty keen observation, Tom. I thought Dvorak was crazy when he said they’ll be a stock market crash in 2009, but that would be just about right with your 2010’s prediction.
July 1st, 2008 at 1:45 am
I think both you and Dvorak are onto something, but for all our sakes, I hope you are wrong!
July 1st, 2008 at 2:06 am
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